Dimpool Analysis Team

Basic Pattern Analysis

30 March 2011

Basic Timeline

December 7, 2010

WikiLeaks U.S. Embassy Cables were published regarding President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali‘s family which indicates so many corruption claims.


Flickr / stewartmorris. President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali


December 17, 2010

Tarek al-Tayyib Muhammad Bouazizi (Mohamed Bouazizi) set himself on fire in protest of the confiscation of his wares and the harassment hat was allegedly inflicted on him by a Tunisian policewoman.

December 18, 2010

Several hundred youths –angered by the angered by the Mohamed Bouazizi incident- gathered in the city of Sidi Bouzid, smashed shop windows and damaged cars.

December 19, 2010

Hundreds of extra police forces brought into Sidi Bouzid and had established a presence on the streets.

December 22, 2010

Houcine Falhi, committed suicide by electrocuting himself in a demonstration, after shouting out that he was tired of being unemployed.

December 24, 2010

Mohamed Ammari was killed by a bullet in the chest when police opened fire on protesters.

December 27, 2010

Social protests against unemployment spread to Tunis (the capital of Tunisia).


Flickr / magharebia. Demonstrations in Tunis


December 28, 2010

President Zine el Abidine Ben Ali visited Mohamed Bouazizi in hospital in order to quell the riots against his government.

December 30, 2010

Chawki Belhoussine El Hadri was shot dead by police during protests.

January 4, 2011

Mohamed Bouazizi died in Ben Arous, at 5:30 p.m.

January 7, 2011

More than 7600 lawyers and most of the teachers went on strike.

January 14, 2011

President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali resigned after fleeing to Saudi Arabia.

Key event

Wikimedia / hamzaelrey. Mohamed Bouazizi

On December 17, 2010 a female police officer, Faida Hamdi and her aids began harassing street vendor Tarek al-Tayyib Muhammad Bouazizi (Mohamed Bouazizi) and confiscated his wares claiming that he lacked a required permit to sell his wares.

After confiscation and harassment procedure, Bouazizi first went to the governor’s office to complain, yet the governor refused to meet him. Then Bouazizi acquired a can of flammable material, he doused himself in front of a local government building and set himself alight.

Public outrage immediately grew over the incident, leading to protests that spread to Tunis and resulted with President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali’s resignation.

Future policy scenarios

Unlike Lebanon, Tunisia has a stable political structure, as 98% of its population is constituted by Arab Muslims. Tunisian public a high education rate –over 73%- yet on the other hand it has a high unemployment rate especially among the university graduates of its population.

Even though political surveys imply that public opinion of Tunisia is divided over its future political system, one thing is certain: Tunisians are discovered freedom and democracy, and they have no intention to have another counterrevolution. Because of its small population –around 1 0-11 million- it would be easier to manage the country, so if Tunisia can manage to fix its economy it can be the best candidate as a “model” for Middle Eastern countries.

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